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Ethereum ETF Launch Outperforms Bitcoin Predictions: What’s on the Horizon?

Analysts Surprised as Ethereum ETF Outperforms, Despite Persistent Threat from Grayscale's Outflows - Will the ETH Price Hold?

Max Porter by Max PorterVerified Author
Jul 24, 2024
2 min. read
Ethereum ETF Launch Outperforms Bitcoin Predictions: What's on the Horizon?

Key Points

  • U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs debut with over $1 billion in trading volumes, surpassing expectations.
  • Grayscale’s ETHE was the only one to experience outflows, amounting to $484.1 million.

The launch of U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs was a resounding success, exceeding $1 billion in trading volumes on their first day.

ETF Debut Performance

BlackRock’s ETHA, Fidelity ETH ETFs, and Grayscale’s ETHE contributed to this with over $100 million in day 1 trading volumes. Other companies such as Vaneck, Franklin, and Invesco Galaxy also saw their ETFs reach daily trading volumes above $10 million.

Bloomberg data shows that the products garnered $107 million in net inflows, with BlackRock’s ETHA and Bitwise’s ETHW leading the pack. However, Grayscale’s ETHE was the only one to experience outflows, which amounted to $484.1 million.

Surpassing Analysts’ Estimates

Despite Grayscale’s outflows, the overall trading volume and net flows surpassed analysts’ estimates. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas had previously predicted that the products would exceed the ‘20% of BTC ETF’ estimates if BlackRock’s volume surpassed $200 million.

Ethereum ETF Launch Outperforms Bitcoin Predictions: What's on the Horizon? Ethereum ETF Launch Outperforms Bitcoin Predictions: What's on the Horizon? Ethereum ETF Launch Outperforms Bitcoin Predictions: What's on the Horizon?

Sure enough, ETHA achieved a volume of $258 million by the end of the first day, equivalent to 26% of BlackRock’s IBIT first-day volume, and thus exceeding the estimates. Zaheer Ebtikar of crypto hedge fund Split Capital confirmed this by stating that the day 1 results surpassed analysts’ estimates.

Vaneck’s Ethereum ETF (ETHV) even outperformed its BTC ETF based on day 1 performance. However, Grayscale’s ETHE had substantial outflows of $484.1 million on its first day, significantly more than GBTC’s $95.1 million outflow during its debut.

Despite the successful debut of the ETFs, the price of Ethereum only increased marginally on the day, rising by 1.25% to hit $3.54k, before declining slightly below $3.5k. The spot market for Ethereum did not experience significant sell pressure following the ETF debut, as indicated by a drop in Exchange Netflow. This suggests more Ethereum was moved from exchanges than in, indicating increased accumulation of Ethereum sent to personal wallets.

Tags: Ethereum (ETH)

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