Key Points
- Ethereum could potentially surge to $7.5k, marking a 120% gain, by the end of the current market cycle.
- The launch of an Ethereum ETF could be a significant catalyst for this predicted rally.
Ethereum (ETH) could potentially experience a significant rally, with gains reaching triple digits, by the end of the current market bull run. This forecast comes from the founders of Glassnode, a blockchain data intelligence firm.
Historical Patterns and Future Predictions
Founders Jan Happel and Yann Allemann, who use the pseudonym Negentropic on X (previously known as Twitter), have based their predictions on historical patterns. They suggest that Ethereum could reach as high as $7.5k.
Negentropic’s conclusions are derived from Ethereum’s price reactions to the multi-year trendline resistance, which has marked previous cycle tops. They also note that a period of price consolidation preceded Ethereum’s last significant rally, a pattern that is currently repeating.
The Role of the Ethereum ETF
The upcoming launch of the Ethereum ETF is seen as a potential catalyst for a new Ethereum cycle. Despite Ethereum’s improving strength relative to Bitcoin and the rest of the market, the ETHBTC ratio remains in a downtrend. This ratio tracks Ethereum’s performance relative to Bitcoin on the price charts.
Another analyst, TechCharts, suggests that Ethereum could outperform Bitcoin if it breaks above its current downtrend. The launch of the Ethereum ETF could further influence the trend of the ETHBTC ratio.
According to SEC Chair Gary Gensler, the approval and launch of the Ethereum ETF could happen as early as this summer, possibly in July. This expectation is echoed by predictions platform Polymarket, which estimates the odds of approval in early July to be over 70%.
Bitwise estimates that by 2025, ETFs could attract $15 billion in flows. As of now, Ethereum is trading at $3.4k, with bearish readings from the derivatives market. The overall volume has decreased by 18%, and Open Interest rates, which track liquidity, have fallen by 3% in the last 24 hours.