Key Points
- Bitcoin could potentially reach over $100K in 2025 and double to $200K in 2026, according to analysts.
- The predictions are based on price models and are in alignment despite ongoing tariff issues.
Macro analyst Lyn Alden suggests that Bitcoin could exceed $100K by 2025 and double to $200K in the following year.
Alden’s prediction is based on the ongoing tariff wars, but she believes that Bitcoin could rally even higher if there is a significant liquidity unlock, particularly if the Federal Reserve intervenes in the U.S. bond markets.
More Room for Bitcoin Growth?
Alden anticipates further growth for Bitcoin, as indicated by the MVRV valuation metric.
She points out that the metric has yet to show the multi-year cycle top signals above 3, suggesting that there is still room for growth.
Bernstein analysts share Alden’s outlook, predicting that Bitcoin could reach $200K by the end of 2025.
Dr. Sina of 21st Capital predicts that Bitcoin could top out between $200K-$300K if historical cycle trends repeat.
He refers to the Bitcoin Quantile Model, which uses past data to pick probability zones for Bitcoin’s price, with a 95th quantile common with cycle peaks.
The prediction site Polymarket shows the highest volume ($1.3M) at a $110K price target with a 52% chance of hitting that level.
Lower volumes are seen at $200K and $150K, with odds of 13% and 22%, respectively.
Options traders, however, expect Bitcoin to exceed $100K in the second half of 2025, with odds of reaching $150K and $250K ranging from 10% to 15% in late 2025 or early 2026.
This suggests that while the market is confident Bitcoin will reclaim $100K this year, it is only cautiously optimistic about reaching $150K and $200K levels in 2026.
The market’s prospects, however, are contingent on weathering the ongoing tariff uncertainty.
