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Analyzing Bitcoin’s Possibility of Recreating 2017, 2021 Trends

Unraveling Bitcoin's Potential Bull Run: A Reappearance of the 2017 'Hidden' Pattern Sparks Expectations for a Speedy Uptick

Max Porter by Max PorterVerified Author
Aug 15, 2024
2 min. read
"Analyzing Bitcoin's Possibility of Recreating 2017, 2021 Trends"

Key Points

  • Analysts believe that Bitcoin could mimic its 2017 and 2021 bull run pattern, indicating a potential surge.
  • Despite recent decreases, 75% of Bitcoin holders remained profitable, with whales controlling 12% of the supply.

Bitcoin [BTC] has seen a significant decrease in value over the past 24 hours. The cryptocurrency started at approximately $60,890, showing brief signs of resilience with some early upward momentum.

Unfortunately, it quickly experienced a sharp drop, falling below the $59,000 threshold. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin traded at $58,315.93, reflecting a 4.21% decrease over the last 24 hours. Despite this, Bitcoin has seen a 1.96% price increase in the past week.

Bitcoin’s Performance and Market Capitalization

With a circulating supply of 20 million BTC, Bitcoin’s market capitalization stood at $1.15 trillion. Recent performance of Bitcoin has led to comparisons with previous bull markets, particularly those of 2017 and 2021.

Analyst Moustache on X (formerly) noted that Bitcoin’s current trajectory is similar to these past cycles, albeit at a faster pace. He stated that if you think the bull market is over, open the charts. BTC is doing the same as in 2017 and 2021, it’s just happening faster in terms of timing.

Market Sentiment and Price Support

Despite the recent decline, market sentiment around Bitcoin remained largely optimistic. Current technical indicators provided mixed signals. The Bollinger Bands suggested decreasing volatility, as the price remained close to the middle band.

The MACD histogram was in the negative zone at press time, indicating bearish momentum, but this momentum appeared to be weakening. However, the MACD line was approaching a potential bullish crossover, which could signal a reversal in the current trend.

According to IntoTheBlock data, Bitcoin’s token summary revealed that 75% of holders were profiting at its current price. 18% were at a loss, while 7% broke even. Whales controlled 12% of the total supply.

Transactions exceeding $100,000 totaled $84.68 billion over the past seven days, with 53% of these transactions originating from the East and 47% from the West. Total exchange netflows amounted to $418.15 million during this period.

Market signals indicated an overall “mostly bullish” sentiment. On-chain signals showed three neutral indicators and one bullish, with net network growth at 0.15%, categorized as neutral. Meanwhile, 0.80% of holders were “in the money,” a bullish indicator.

The derivatives market reflected some bearish sentiment, with Futures market momentum at -0.25%. According to AMBCrypto’s look at DefiLlama data, Bitcoin had a Total Value Locked of $620.01 million at press time, with a 24-hour volume of $201,892 and 662,757 active addresses.

This analysis suggested that, despite short-term fluctuations, Bitcoin may be gearing up for another significant upward movement, reminiscent of previous bull markets.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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