Key Points
- Bitcoin’s bullish sentiment has led to market corrections, with concerns over a potential market top.
- Despite the volatility, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen substantial inflows.
Bitcoin [BTC] has recently undergone a market correction, following a surge in bullish sentiment.
Market intelligence platform Santiment reported a steady growth in optimism towards Bitcoin, as evidenced by sentiment data.
However, this positive outlook has sparked worries about a possible market peak, which often precedes price corrections in the crypto space.
Rising Sentiment and ETF Inflows
Santiment’s analysis last Friday indicated increasing confidence among Bitcoin traders, following a 22% price rise over the past three weeks.
The sentiment ratio, which measures the balance between bullish and bearish posts about Bitcoin, revealed a significant increase in optimism, with 1.8 bullish posts for every bearish post.
Simultaneously, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have witnessed massive inflows. On September 30th, Lookonchain reported that $BTC ETFs saw 7,111 BTC in net inflows, equivalent to approximately $453.42 million.
A large portion of this, around 3,085 BTC ($196.71 million), came from ARK21Shares, raising its cumulative holdings to nearly 50,684 BTC.
These institutional inflows come as market participants await the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision on pending applications for spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Moderation in the Market
The MVRV ratio, which compares Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value, currently stands at 1.85.
This suggests that Bitcoin is trading above its realized value, but is not in an overheated or undervalued state.
Historically, peaks in the MVRV ratio, typically above 3.5, have marked Bitcoin price tops, such as during the bull markets of 2013, 2017, and 2021.
These periods were followed by sharp corrections and bear market phases.
When the MVRV ratio falls below 1, it indicates that Bitcoin is trading below its realized value, often presenting buying opportunities.
The current ratio of 1.85, however, suggests the market is in a balanced state, with potential for either continued correction or recovery, depending on future sentiment shifts.
Bearish Technical Pattern Adds to Uncertainty
Adding to the uncertainty, a recent report highlighted concerns raised by a crypto analyst known as Ash Crypto.
The analyst pointed out a multi-year bearish head and shoulders pattern on Bitcoin’s chart that has been developing since 2021.
The coin’s price is nearing the neckline support of this pattern, and failure to hold this support could result in a substantial price drop.
