Key Points
- The crypto fear and greed index hit 74, indicating extreme market greed and potential for Bitcoin accumulation.
- Bitcoin miner revenue has significantly increased over the past month.
Bitcoin Market Displays Extreme Greed
Data from Alternative.com indicates a surge in the crypto fear and greed index to 74. This suggests an extremely greedy market, with traders and holders showing an increased risk appetite and likely accumulation of more Bitcoin (BTC).
Despite BTC nearing its all-time high, the increasing greed among traders suggests an expectation for BTC to reach, or even surpass, its previous high. Currently, BTC is trading at $68,385.79, requiring a 7.21% increase to reach its previous peak. The trading velocity of BTC has significantly declined, indicating that most holders are keen on retaining their BTC.
High Profitability and Holder Behavior
The high MVRV ratio indicates high profitability among holders. However, this can be a double-edged sword. While profitability can improve sentiment around BTC, it may also incentivize some to sell their BTC, causing selling pressure. The behavior of these holders can offer insight into whether they decide to sell their holdings.
The Long/Short difference has decreased recently, suggesting an increase in short-term holders. These holders are more likely to sell their BTC for profits, potentially causing long-term volatility for BTC. Another factor that can influence selling pressure is the state of miners. If miner revenues decrease, miners might be forced to sell their holdings to remain profitable, which could negatively impact the price of BTC.
Positive Outlook for Bitcoin Miners
At present, the situation appears positive for miners. Analysis of Blockchain.com’s data reveals a significant increase in daily miner revenue, from $28,435,048 to $39,241,234. Given these factors, the likelihood of a BTC correction seems low.