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Bitcoin Price Forecast: Will BTC Stay Above $80K Before CPI Report

Bitcoin stabilizes above $81K as inflation fears, soaring oil prices, and bearish equity signals from Michael Burry heighten volatility risks ahead of the April CPI release.

Max Porter by Max PorterVerified Author
May 12, 2026
2 min. read
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Will BTC Stay Above $80K Before CPI Report

Key Points

  • Bitcoin (BTC) holds above $80,000 despite rising macroeconomic and equity market risks.
  • Upcoming CPI data may determine breakout above $81,720 or renewed downside pressure.

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading firmly above $80,000, recently peaking near $82,040 before entering consolidation.

The move comes as broader financial markets face renewed uncertainty tied to inflation data and elevated oil prices.

Macro Pressures Add to Market Uncertainty

Investor Michael Burry cautioned that the Nasdaq 100 is trading at valuations significantly above his estimated fair-value multiple.

He also highlighted the sharp rebound in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index as a potential warning sign for overheated equity markets.

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Will BTC Stay Above $80K Before CPI Report Bitcoin Price Forecast: Will BTC Stay Above $80K Before CPI Report Bitcoin Price Forecast: Will BTC Stay Above $80K Before CPI Report

Meanwhile, Brent crude oil climbed above $105 per barrel following geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran.

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose to 4.42%, reflecting heightened sensitivity to inflation and policy expectations.

These converging macroeconomic factors are unfolding just ahead of the latest Consumer Price Index release.

According to TradingEconomics, oil prices have contributed to recent inflation volatility.

Technical Levels in Focus Before CPI Release

Technical indicators show that Bitcoin (BTC) has improved its structure since mid-April, supported by a prior weekly MACD crossover.

Immediate resistance stands near $81,720, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.

A further barrier appears around $83,000, where the 200-day simple moving average is positioned.

Key support levels are identified at $72,000, with deeper structural levels near $70,065 and $64,920.

Momentum indicators remain positive overall, though some oscillators suggest short-term buying strength may be moderating.

Market participants are closely monitoring the $81,720 threshold for a confirmed daily close.

A softer-than-expected CPI reading could ease rate concerns and open room toward the $85,000–$89,000 range.

An in-line report may result in continued consolidation between $79,000 and $83,000.

Stronger-than-expected inflation could pressure risk assets and challenge support near $79,000.

Institutional flows remain active, with spot Bitcoin ETF inflows recording notable daily totals in recent sessions.

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