Key Points
- Bitcoin’s Puell Multiple has dropped below 0.4, indicating a market bottom and decreased miner selling pressure.
- A golden cross on the 2-month chart and tightening Bollinger Bands suggest a potential bullish breakout.
The Bitcoin (BTC) market is showing signs of potential bullish momentum, as the Puell Multiple has fallen below 0.4. This has coincided with the formation of a golden cross on the 2-month chart.
These indicators, combined with on-chain data, suggest that Bitcoin could be gearing up for a significant price movement. It is crucial to delve deeper into the data to determine if Bitcoin is truly on the brink of a rally.
Puell Multiple and Miner Behavior
The Puell Multiple’s drop below 0.4 indicates that Bitcoin miners are earning significantly less than their historical average. This metric is typically associated with market bottoms, suggesting that Bitcoin could be undervalued at present.
When miners earn less, they tend to sell less, thereby reducing market selling pressure and often paving the way for a price recovery.
Miners and On-Chain Activity
Despite the decrease in miner earnings, Bitcoin’s network activity remains robust. The number of active addresses has increased by 0.93%, totaling 8.24k in the past 24 hours – a sign of increased network engagement.
This rise in activity, coupled with miners likely holding onto their coins rather than selling, sets the stage for supply constraints that could push the price higher.
Technical Indicators
On the 2-month chart, Bitcoin has formed a Golden Cross, where the 50-period moving average has crossed above the 200-period moving average. This pattern is widely recognized as a bullish signal, particularly on longer timeframes, indicating that Bitcoin may be entering a sustained upward trend.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 51.05, signaling neutral market conditions and leaving room for upward movement.
The Bollinger Bands appear to be tightening, with Bitcoin near the lower band at $57,758.15. This could suggest that the asset is oversold and could experience a bounce back soon.
With the Puell Multiple indicating a market bottom, the formation of a Golden Cross, and key technical indicators like the RSI and Bollinger Bands supporting a bullish scenario, Bitcoin could be gearing up for a potential breakout. The decrease in miner selling pressure, the rise in on-chain activity, and strong technical signals all support this hypothesis.