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Japan Moves Toward XRP ETF Approval—Could It Ignite the Next Price Surge?

As SBI Holdings advances a joint Bitcoin-XRP ETF toward regulatory approval, investors eye key price levels and analyst forecasts to gauge whether the listing could ignite a fresh rally above $3.

Max Porter by Max PorterVerified Author
Jun 12, 2026
2 min. read
Japan Moves Toward XRP ETF Approval—Could It Ignite the Next Price Surge?

Key Points

  • SBI files Japan’s first proposed Bitcoin–XRP ETF, awaiting FSA approval.
  • XRP rebounds near $1.14 as traders watch $1.20 breakout level.

XRP has rebounded toward $1.14 after dipping to an intraday low of $1.10, with analysts attributing the move largely to institutional developments rather than retail demand.

SBI Holdings has submitted plans for Japan’s first dual Bitcoin–XRP exchange-traded fund aimed at listing on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, with the proposal reportedly in an advanced review phase at the Financial Services Agency (FSA).

According to Yahoo Finance, the product lineup includes a blended Bitcoin–XRP ETF and a separate gold-and-crypto vehicle, both pending regulatory clearance.

Market commentary on Binance Square describes the filing as a significant institutional catalyst, while TradingView analysts note increasing volume as evidence that traders may be positioning for a potential approval.

Japan Moves Toward XRP ETF Approval—Could It Ignite the Next Price Surge? Japan Moves Toward XRP ETF Approval—Could It Ignite the Next Price Surge? Japan Moves Toward XRP ETF Approval—Could It Ignite the Next Price Surge?

Rakuten’s earlier integration of XRP for payments, which previously coincided with a breakout above $1.40 in May, indicates that corporate adoption in Japan has already gained traction.

Technical Levels in Focus

XRP is currently testing resistance near $1.17, with $1.20 identified by technical analysts as a key breakout threshold on the four-hour chart.

Support around $1.05 has held following the recent rebound, forming a short-term range that remains constructive as long as that level stays intact.

The recent price pattern shows an initial rejection near $1.18 followed by a renewed attempt to reclaim that area, a setup commonly interpreted as a potential accumulation phase.

Analysts suggest sustained trading volume could increase the probability of a move beyond resistance, though regulatory confirmation from the FSA remains pending and no approval date has been announced.

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