Key Points
- Experts suggest potential for Bitcoin’s long-term rally despite short-term price drops.
- Decrease in active BTC addresses and increase in BTC exchange supply hint at bearish sentiment.
Bitcoin [BTC] has recently seen a drop to the $58,000 region, with a 1.33% loss over the past month. Market predictions suggest that further declines may be on the horizon.
Despite these short-term fluctuations, some analysts maintain a positive long-term outlook for the cryptocurrency, viewing the current downturn as a temporary setback.
Long-term Potential for Bitcoin
Analyst Mister Crypto points out that BTC is forming a bullish flag pattern, similar to its positioning in 2023, which led to a new all-time high. If this pattern continues, a major surge in BTC is expected, potentially leading to a new peak.
Crypto Kaleo, another analyst, has noted a consistent correlation between BTC’s movement and the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) over the past 19 months. A predicted decline in the DXY is expected to trigger a Bitcoin rally, as these charts typically move inversely.
Despite this optimistic outlook, current data reveal a drop in the number of active BTC addresses and an increase in the BTC exchange supply. This suggests a bearish sentiment among market participants and could lead to a short-term decline in BTC prices.
Short-term Bearish Outlook
Recent liquidation data from Coinglass reveals a more bearish short-term outlook for BTC. Over $23.96 million worth of long positions have been forcefully liquidated. This data includes details about the forced closure of trading positions, which occurs when traders fail to meet margin requirements or when their trades move significantly against them.
Additionally, the open interest in BTC, a metric indicating investor interest in an asset, has decreased by 0.44%. If these trends persist, a continued decline in both metrics could further depress BTC prices in the short term.
