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Home Crypto

Unprecedented Low Balances For Bitcoin and Ethereum: What’s Next?

Analyzing the Implications of Plunging BTC and ETH Exchange Reserves for Market Conditions: A Catch Yet to Unravel

Max Porter by Max PorterVerified Author
Jun 3, 2024
2 min. read
Unprecedented Low Balances For Bitcoin and Ethereum: What's Next?

Key Points

  • Bitcoin and Ethereum’s exchange balance is decreasing, hinting at potential price increases.
  • Technical analysis suggests substantial price movements if key resistance levels are breached.

Bitcoin and Ethereum’s exchange balance has been on a decline, according to data from CryptoQuant.

Technical analysis indicates that significant price movements can be expected for both cryptocurrencies if key resistance levels are broken.

Bitcoin and Ethereum’s Market Performance

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading just under $70,000, marking a moderate 2% increase in the last 24 hours, but still below its March peak of over $73,000.

This growth is part of a broader narrative that highlights the complexities of crypto market movements.

In contrast, Ethereum has demonstrated remarkable stability, maintaining a position above $3,800, despite a slight 2.5% drop over the last day, stabilizing with a minimal 0.7% increase today.

This stability in Ethereum’s price suggests a sustained interest in the asset amid fluctuating market conditions.

Shifts in Bitcoin and Ethereum Markets

Recent analysis by Leon Waidmann of BTC-ECHO revealed that both Bitcoin and Ethereum have seen their lowest exchange balance levels in years.

Specifically, Bitcoin’s presence on exchanges has reduced to 11.6% while Ethereum’s has dipped to 10.6%.

This trend suggests a significant movement of these assets away from exchanges and potentially indicates a strategy among investors to hold onto their coins for longer periods.

An examination of CryptoQuant data further revealed a substantial outflow of these cryptocurrencies from exchanges.

Over $5 million worth of Bitcoin and more than $1 billion in Ethereum have been withdrawn from exchanges since early May.

This movement is significant as it follows the approval of spot Ethereum ETFs in the US, hinting at a possible supply squeeze on the horizon.

The reduction in exchange reserves implies that fewer coins are now available for immediate trading, pointing to a potential price increase due to scarcity.

However, Glassnode data presents a contrasting view, showing an increase in the circulating supply for both cryptocurrencies, suggesting that despite reduced exchange availability, the overall market supply remains high.

This scenario sets the stage for potential price corrections if demand fails to keep pace with the increasing supply.

Meanwhile, a decline in new addresses for both Bitcoin and Ethereum could indicate a cooling interest among new investors, potentially impacting future demand.

Technical analysis of both Bitcoin and Ethereum’s charts reveals a potentially intriguing performance on the horizon.

For Bitcoin, the daily chart shows a pattern where the cryptocurrency has been breaking through lower support levels, recently reversing to tap into a major supply zone.

This movement typically signals a continuation of the downtrend. However, if Bitcoin surpasses the $72,000 mark, breaking the previous lower high and negating the bearish setup, this could suggest a reversal to an upward trend.

A similar pattern emerges on Ethereum’s daily chart. Ethereum has recently entered a major supply zone, suggesting an impending sell-off.

Nonetheless, if Ethereum breaks above the $4,000 threshold, surpassing the recent lower high and overturning the current sell signal, this could pave the way for an upward movement.

Tags: Ethereum (ETH)

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